KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probability
Celina Leão 70%Leader of 11 outcomes
Market quality
27 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
—
Liquidity
$192.4
Low liquiditySpread
9.0 pt
Wide spreadMarket data
Updated 5 minutes ago
Sep 5, 26, 2:30 AM UTCOct 25, 27, 2:00 PM UTC
Trends
0%
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Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Federal District Governor Election Winner
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Kalshi🇧🇷 President in Jan 2027 is Lula, or whoever he endorses / Lula ou seu indicado é presidente em janeiro de 2027
Manifold MarketsRules
If Arruda wins the 2026 Brazilian Federal District gubernatorial election, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:Tribunal Superior Eleitoral (TSE)
- This market is eligible for accelerated resolution by a consensus of media calls.
- See full rules for details.
- If Cappelli wins the 2026 Brazilian Federal District gubernatorial election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the named outcome wins the 2026 Brazilian Federal District gubernatorial election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Elisson wins the 2026 Brazilian Federal District gubernatorial election, then the market resolves to Yes.
Open markets
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- JD Vance-0.1pt25%
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+49 more outcomes
- Total Vol
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- 24h Vol
- $810.8K
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-6.0pt53%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+5.5pt45%
- Renan Santos-0.2pt1%
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- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.1pt20%
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+39 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $701M
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
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- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez16%
- Gavin Newsom14%
+45 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $213.1M
- 24h Vol
- $547.7K
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POLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen+0.3pt36.4%
- Édouard Philippe+2.0pt31.3%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon-1.0pt12.1%
+38 more outcomes
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- Which party will win the U.S. House?
- 2028 Republican presidential nominee
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Brazil Federal District Governor winner??
- Kalshi prices Celina Leão at 70% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does Brazil Federal District Governor winner? resolve?
- Brazil Federal District Governor winner? is scheduled to resolve on October 25, 2027.
- How is Brazil Federal District Governor winner? settled?
- Kalshi settles this market as follows: If Arruda wins the 2026 Brazilian Federal District gubernatorial election, then the market resolves to Yes.