PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent implied probability
“The Pitt” 92.3%+2.5ptLeader of 7 outcomesVig-adjusted: raw venue quotes summed above 100% and were normalized.
Market quality
73 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$4.4K
Liquidity
$22.9K
Medium liquiditySpread
1.5 pt
Tight spreadComments
1
7d Change
+4.5 pts
Market data
Updated 7 minutes ago
Jul 10, 26, 2:20 PM UTCSep 14, 26, 8:00 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Emmys 2026: Outstanding supporting actor in a drama series
PolymarketEmmys 2026: Outstanding supporting actress in a drama series
PolymarketEmmys 2026: Outstanding lead actor in a drama series
PolymarketEmmys 2026: Best Supporting Actor in a Drama Series
FutuurEmmys 2026: Best Supporting Actress in a Drama Series
FutuurEmmys 2026: Best Lead Actor in a Drama Series
FutuurRules
The 78th Primetime Emmy Awards, given by the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences, honor the best in American prime time television programming aired between June 1, 2025, until May 31, 2026.
- The awards ceremony is scheduled for September 14, 2026, at the Peacock Theater in Downtown Los Angeles, California
- This market will resolve according to the nominee who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding drama series”.
- If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order.
- The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction Source Comparison
Open markets
PoliticsPOLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.1pt25%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $703.9M
- 24h Vol
- $810.8K
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-6.0pt53%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+5.5pt45%
- Renan Santos-0.2pt1%
+16 more outcomes
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.1pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $701M
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff17%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez16%
- Gavin Newsom14%
+45 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $213.1M
- 24h Vol
- $547.7K
POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+5.5pt74.3%
- New People (NL)-3.8pt21.8%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-1.1pt3%
POLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen+0.3pt36.4%
- Édouard Philippe+2.0pt31.3%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon-1.0pt12.1%
+38 more outcomes
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- Which party will win the U.S. House?
- 2028 Republican presidential nominee
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Russia Parliamentary Election Winner
- New Hampshire Democratic Senate nominee?
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- South Carolina Senate winner?
- Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?
- NH-01 Democratic nominee?
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Emmys 2026: Outstanding drama series?
- Polymarket prices “The Pitt” at 92% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does Emmys 2026: Outstanding drama series resolve?
- Emmys 2026: Outstanding drama series is scheduled to resolve on September 14, 2026.
- How is Emmys 2026: Outstanding drama series settled?
- Polymarket settles this market as follows: The 78th Primetime Emmy Awards, given by the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences, honor the best in American prime time television programming aired between June 1, 2025, until May 31, 2026.
- Where else is Emmys 2026: Outstanding drama series listed?
- The same question is also listed on Futuur.