Emmys 2026: Outstanding lead actor in a drama series
0.1 pts (24h)PoliticsOne-OffEntertainmentElection6d
PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent implied probability
Noah Wyle – “The Pitt” 91.4%+0.3ptLeader of 5 outcomesVig-adjusted: raw venue quotes summed above 100% and were normalized.
Market quality
64 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$121.8
Liquidity
$26.7K
High liquiditySpread
1.6 pt
Tight spreadComments
0
7d Change
+0.3 pts
Market data
Updated 2 minutes ago
Jul 10, 26, 1:10 AM UTCSep 14, 26, 8:00 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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FutuurEmmys 2026: Outstanding Lead Actor in a Comedy Series
FutuurEmmys 2026: Best Supporting Actor in a Drama Series
FutuurRules
The 78th Primetime Emmy Awards, given by the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences, honor the best in American prime time television programming aired between June 1, 2025, until May 31, 2026.
- The awards ceremony is scheduled for September 14, 2026, at the Peacock Theater in Downtown Los Angeles, California
- This market will resolve according to the person who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding lead actor in a drama series”.
- If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order.
- The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction Source Comparison
2 venues currently price this market. CoinRithm's liquidity-weighted reference probability for Noah Wyle – “The Pitt” is 96%. Quotes span about 4 percentage points between the widest venues.
CoinRithm reference Noah Wyle – “The Pitt” 96% · 2 venues · 4 pt venue spread
- Also available on Futuur — Emmys 2026: Best Lead Actor in a Drama Series · Noah Wyle – “The Pitt” 93%
