Continued US strikes against Houthis?
Geopolitics
PolymarketClosedCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedThis market resolved: Yes
Resolved: Jan 13, 2024, 4:02 AM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Current implied probability
Yes 100%
Market quality
15 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
—
Liquidity
—
Liquidity unknownMarket data
Updated 147 days ago
StaleJan 12, 24, 12:34 AMJan 14, 24, 12:00 AM
Probability Timeline
Yes100%
No0%
100%
0%
Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States of America initiates a military attack on Yemeni soil, airspace, or maritime territory intended to strike Houthi targets between January 12, 12:00 AM ET, and January 14, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- A "military attack" is any use of force executed by the US on Yemeni soil, airspace, or maritime territory (e.g. if a Houthi weapons depot on Yemeni soil is subject to a US missile strike, this market will resolve to "Yes") that is officially acknowledged by the U.S. federal government or a consensus of credible reporting, and specifically directed against Houthi targets. This includes, but is not limited to, airstrikes, naval attacks, or ground invasions. Cyber attacks, sanctions, or diplomatic actions will not count.
- The US striking an unmanned aerial vehicle or projectile over Yemeni territory in a defensive capacity will NOT count toward a "Yes" resolution.
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Continued US strikes against Houthis??
- Polymarket prices Yes at 100% as of March 31, 2026.
- When does Continued US strikes against Houthis? resolve?
- Continued US strikes against Houthis? is scheduled to resolve on January 14, 2024.
- How is Continued US strikes against Houthis? settled?
- Polymarket settles this market as follows: This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States of America initiates a military attack on Yemeni soil, airspace, or maritime territory intended to strike Houthi targets between January 12, 12:00 AM ET, and January 14, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".