Closer Governor Race: New York or Pennsylvania?
3.5 pts (24h)PoliticsOne-OffUS PoliticsElection2026 US Midterms10d
PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedSelected book midpoint
New York · —
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Stored reference
New York 73%
New York 73%Market quality
44 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$80.7
Liquidity
$7K
Medium liquidityOpen interest
$89.1
Bid / Ask
— / —
New YorkSpread
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Comments
0
7d Change
-9.5 pts
Market data
Updated 11 minutes ago
Oct 8, 26, 10:57 PM UTCNov 4, 26, 4:59 AM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
Venue terms
Source: Polymarket
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Minimum order (shares):
- 5
- Tick size:
- 1 percentage points
- Fees:
- Yes
Top holders
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Market depth · New York
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Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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Manifold MarketsRules
The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
- This market will resolve to "the named outcome" if the regularly-scheduled gubernatorial race in the named outcome has a smaller unrounded margin of victory than that of the Pennsylvania gubernatorial election.
- This market will resolve to "Pennsylvania" if the regularly-scheduled gubernatorial race in Pennsylvania has a smaller unrounded margin of victory than that of the the named outcome gubernatorial election.
- If both states have the same margin of victory, this market will resolve 50-50.
- For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates.
- Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
