PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataRoughly calibratedCurrent implied probabilityFiona Ma 92.1%Leader of 37 outcomes
Market quality
65 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$1.4
Liquidity
$91.8K
High liquidityBid / Ask
0.2% / 3.0%
Spread
2.8 pt
Moderate spreadMarket data
Updated 6 minutes ago
May 14, 26, 11:52 PMNov 3, 26, 12:00 AM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
Fiona Ma93%
Compare venues· Fiona Ma
Ranked by market quality, then liquidity and 24h volume| Venue | Quality | Probability | vs reference | 24h Vol | Liq | Freshness | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PolymarketThis pageBest overall | Medium | 93% | — | $1.4 | $91.8K | 6 minutes ago | |
 Kalshi62% match · verified | Low | 93% | — | $0 | $55.2K | 26 minutes ago | Open → |
Also available on Kalshi
California Lieutenant Governor winner?
Closed
92.1%
6.9%
1%
+6 more outcomes
44 • Low qualitySpread unknownHigh liquidity
Total Vol$99.2K
24h Vol$0
KALSHIRules
This market will resolve to according to the candidate who wins the 2026 California lieutenant gubernatorial election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.
- If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
- The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC.
- This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate.
- If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.
Probabilities may differ due to different market structures, fees, and participant pools.
Volume trend
$1Jul 219d of dataJul 29
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This market will resolve to according to the candidate who wins the 2026 California lieutenant gubernatorial election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.
- If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
- The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC.
- This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate.
- If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.