PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent implied probability
6.1 or more 94.3%+81.5ptLeader of 6 outcomesVig-adjusted: raw venue quotes summed above 100% and were normalized.
6.1 or more 94.3%+81.5ptMarket quality
46 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$4.3K
Liquidity
$9.5K
Medium liquidityComments
0
Market data
Updated 15 minutes ago
Sep 25, 26, 4:07 AM UTCSep 26, 26, 6:00 PM UTC
Trends
Venue terms
Source: Polymarket
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Minimum order (shares):
- 5
- Tick size:
- 0.1 percentage points
- Fees:
- Yes
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
What will the biggest earthquake be on September 26, 2026?
Polymarket10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?
Polymarket9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?
PolymarketWill there be an 8 magnitude earthquake in California before 2027?
KalshiWill there be an at least 8.0 magnitude earthquake in California before 2035?
Kalshi8.0 magnitude earthquake in Japan before 2030?
KalshiRules
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the magnitude of the largest earthquake recorded globally on September 25, 2026, as reported by the USGS Earthquake Catalog.
- Brackets: the named outcome / the named outcome / the named outcome / the named outcome / the named outcome / the named outcome.
- Exactly one bracket resolves "Yes".
- The observation period is the UTC calendar day: 00:00 UTC to 23:59 UTC on September 25, 2026.
- An earthquake is assigned to the day containing its origin time.
- Magnitude refers to the USGS preferred magnitude value, listed under 'Magnitude' in the format column.