KalshiCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probability
Before 2040 68%Leader of 6 outcomes
Before 2040 68%Market quality
47 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$600
Liquidity
$600
Low liquiditySpread
4.0 pt
Moderate spreadMarket data
Updated 15 minutes ago
Sep 23, 26, 10:00 PM UTCJan 7, 28, 3:00 PM UTC
Trends
Venue terms
Source: Kalshi
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Early close:
- Yes
- Settlement timer:
- 30m (informational)
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will CMI declare the Riemann Hypothesis solved by which date?
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KalshiAI program resolves Riemann Hypothesis before 2035
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Manifold MarketsWill we have a proof of the Riemann Hypothesis by 2060?
Manifold MarketsRules
If Riemann Hypothesis in its official Clay Mathematics Institute formulation is resolved before Jan 1, 2027 under the Payout Criterion and that resolution has not been retracted, withdrawn, repudiated, or rescinded prior to the Expiration time, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:Annals of Mathematicsthe Clay Mathematics Institutethe American Mathematical Societythe International Mathematical Unionthe New York TimesThe Wall Street JournalThe Washington PostBloomberg NewsReutersthe Associated PressThe EconomistThe Guardian
- For purposes of this Contract, Riemann Hypothesis in its official Clay Mathematics Institute formulation is considered resolved if at least one of the following occurs and has not been retracted, withdrawn, repudiated, or rescinded prior to the Expiration time:
- A peer-reviewed article presenting a complete proof, a complete disproof, or a counterexample establishing the falsity of the conjecture, in the conjecture's original form as specified by the Exchange at Issuance, has been published in one or more Source Agency peer-reviewed journals.
- A recognized authoritative body for the academic field of the conjecture, including but not limited to Annals of Mathematics, the American Mathematical Society, the International Mathematical Union, a national academy of sciences, the Nobel Foundation, or an equivalent governing or recognition body for the relevant academic field, has officially recognized in a written communication that the conjecture, in its original form as specified by the Exchange at Issuance, has been resolved by reference to a specific written work.
- At least two Source Agencies have published reporting describing the conjecture, in its original form as specified by the Exchange at Issuance, as having been proven, disproven, or otherwise resolved by reference to a specific publicly available written work, and no Source Agency has, prior to the Expiration time, published reporting that such written work has been formally retracted by its author(s) or by any publishing journal, has been formally withdrawn or repudiated by its author(s), or contains an identified error that has not been publicly corrected or addressed by the author(s) in a subsequent publication or amendment.
- If Riemann Hypothesis in its official Clay Mathematics Institute formulation is resolved before Jan 1, 2028 under the Payout Criterion and that resolution has not been retracted, withdrawn, repudiated, or rescinded prior to the Expiration time, then the market resolves to Yes.