Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 51%
Forecasters
18
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 11 hours ago
StaleAug 10, 26, 6:38 PM UTCFeb 1, 27, 5:59 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Further substantive progress on the Riemann Hypothesis by which date?
PolymarketOpenAI discovers the first proof of the Riemann Hypothesis before 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill LLMs improve any major aspect of the Riemann hypothesis by EOY 2026?
Manifold MarketsWhen will the Riemann hypothesis be solved?
KalshiAI program resolves Riemann Hypothesis before 2035
Manifold MarketsWill CMI declare the Riemann Hypothesis solved by which date?
PolymarketRules
Context: https://www.anthropic.com/research/riemann-zeta
- Resolves yes if somebody improves on the lower bound before 2027.
- Resolves even if Claude’s proof is shown to be flawed, as long as it’s proven the lower bound is above the one claimed by Claude
Open markets
AIKALSHITop AI model in September?
- claude-fable-5.1-max-12.0pt72%
- claude-opus-5-high+2.0pt6%
- claude-opus-4-6-thinking4%
+3 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $157.2K
- 24h Vol
- $119.4K
POLYMARKETWill CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by which date?
- 2028+10.0pt60%
- 2027+2.0pt31.4%
- 2026+2.0pt8.6%
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,-1.0pt90%
- December 15,+3.5pt90%
- November 30,85%
+7 more outcomes
- Total Vol
KALSHIBest AI at the end of 2026?
- Claude-0.7pt61.4%
- ChatGPT-2.7pt22.8%
- Grok-0.1pt7.9%
+5 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $10.6M
KALSHIBest AI in Sep 2026?
- Claude+3.0pt81.3%
- ChatGPT-4.0pt11.2%
- Grok2.8%
+4 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $377.7K
- 24h Vol
POLYMARKETOpenAI’s Astra Model: Text Arena Debut?
- 1480+-2.5pt66%
- 1490+-9.0pt51%
- 1500+-3.5pt23%
+2 more outcomes
- Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap
- When will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
- When will OpenAI achieve AGI?
- Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
- Will OpenAI's valuation hit __ by December 31?
- Next Google Gemini Pro Model released by which date?
- Best Chinese AI Company end of September?
- What will OpenAI's IPO valuation be?
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Claude Riemann Hypothesis Lower Bound improved upon before 2027??
- Manifold Markets prices No at 51% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does Claude Riemann Hypothesis Lower Bound improved upon before 2027? resolve?
- Claude Riemann Hypothesis Lower Bound improved upon before 2027? is scheduled to resolve on February 1, 2027.
- How is Claude Riemann Hypothesis Lower Bound improved upon before 2027? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: Context: https://www.anthropic.com/research/riemann-zeta