PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent implied probability
<25 47%-0.6ptLeader of 5 outcomes
Market quality
77 / 100
High quality24h Volume
$773.3
Liquidity
$58.7K
High liquiditySpread
0.1 pt
Tight spreadComments
0
7d Change
-18.3 pts
Market data
Updated 12 minutes ago
Aug 26, 26, 10:15 PM UTCSep 30, 26, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
How many ships transit Bab el-Mandeb Strait week of September 7?
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PolymarketRules
This market will resolve according to the 7-day moving average of transit calls (“Arrivals of Ships”) for the Bab el-Mandeb Strait that IMF Portwatch reports for September 30, 2026.
- Transit calls include container, dry bulk, roll-on/roll-off, general cargo, and tanker ships.
- Ships not reported by IMF Portwatch will not be considered.
- This market will resolve as soon as the relevant data has been published.
- If the relevant data is not published within 14 calendar days of the specified date, this market will resolve based on the most recent data published up to that point.
- In case of obvious data integrity issues (i.e., erroneous data), the market may remain open until the end of the third calendar day (ET) after the date on which such data is first released to allow for corrections.