PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedData quality warningStale data
Data as of Nov 4, 2026, 6:05 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Selected book midpoint
25-29 · —
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Stored reference
20-24 9.7%Leader of 5 outcomesVig-adjusted: raw venue quotes summed above 100% and were normalized.
20-24 9.7%Market quality
60 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$764.9
Liquidity
$21.7K
Medium liquidityOpen interest
$646.6
Bid / Ask
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25-29Spread
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Comments
0
Market data
Updated 49 minutes ago
LaggingNov 3, 26, 2:11 AM UTCDec 1, 26, 4:59 AM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
Venue terms
Source: Polymarket
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Minimum order (shares):
- 5
- Tick size:
- 1 percentage points
- Fees:
- No
Top holders
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Market depth · 25-29
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Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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KalshiRules
This market will resolve according to the 7-day moving average of transit calls (“Arrivals of Ships”) for the Bab el-Mandeb Strait that IMF Portwatch reports for November 30, 2026.
- Transit calls include container, dry bulk, roll-on/roll-off, general cargo, and tanker ships.
- Ships not reported by IMF Portwatch will not be considered.
- This market will resolve as soon as the relevant data has been published.
- If the relevant data is not published within 14 calendar days of the specified date, this market will resolve based on the most recent data published up to that point.
- In case of obvious data integrity issues (i.e., erroneous data), the market may remain open until the end of the third calendar day (ET) after the date on which such data is first released to allow for corrections.