PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedSelected book midpoint
0-4 · —
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Stored reference
0-4 26.9%Leader of 7 outcomesVig-adjusted: raw venue quotes summed above 100% and were normalized.
0-4 26.9%Market quality
67 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$1.5K
Liquidity
$53.9K
High liquidityOpen interest
$716
Bid / Ask
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0-4Spread
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Comments
0
Market data
Updated 10 minutes ago
Nov 3, 26, 2:10 AM UTCDec 1, 26, 4:59 AM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
Venue terms
Source: Polymarket
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Minimum order (shares):
- 5
- Tick size:
- 1 percentage points
- Fees:
- No
Top holders
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Market depth · 0-4
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Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Avg. # of ships transiting Bab el-Mandeb Strait end of November?
PolymarketWill __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by November 30?
PolymarketHow many ships transit the Strait of Hormuz week of November 2?
PolymarketHow many ships transit the Strait of Hormuz week of November 9?
PolymarketOn November 29th 2026, what will the 7-day average ships passing through the Strait of Hormuz be?
Manifold MarketsWill 100 or more ships cross the straight of Hormuz in a day in 2026?
Manifold MarketsRules
This market will resolve according to the finalized 7-day moving average of transit calls (“Arrivals of Ships”) for the Strait of Hormuz that IMF Portwatch reports for November 30, 2026.
- Transit calls include container, dry bulk, roll-on/roll-off, general cargo, and tanker ships.
- Ships not reported by IMF Portwatch will not be considered.
- Data for a specific date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next date's data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
- This market will resolve as soon as the relevant data has been finalized.
- If the data for the specified date has not been finalized by the end of the third calendar day (ET) after the day on which such data is released, this market will resolve based on data published up to that point.
