Ukraine/Russia Ceasefire: will a mutual agreement be reached by April 15?
PoliticsDailyUS PoliticsGeopoliticsRussia / Ukraine
MyriadClosedLimited verified dataThis market resolved: No
Limited resolution evidence
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Current implied probability
No 100%
Market quality
15 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
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Liquidity
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Liquidity unknownTraders
16,721
Market data
Updated 2 hours ago
StaleMar 14, 25, 5:16 PMApr 15, 25, 5:00 PM
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Rules
Amid ongoing diplomatic efforts, U.S. special envoy Steve Witkoff has been conducting talks in Moscow regarding a proposed 30-day ceasefire plan between Russia and Ukraine.
- Both President Putin and Ukrainian officials have signaled openness to ceasefire discussions, though with differing conditions and concerns.
- Will Russia and Ukraine mutually accept a ceasefire agreement by April 15, 2025, at 17:00 UTC when the market closes?
- The market will resolve based on official statements from the Kremlin, the Ukrainian government, and/or the White House's official channels.
- The market resolves to **"Yes"** if both Russia and Ukraine formally accept a ceasefire agreement, even with amendments that are mutually agreed upon by all parties.
- However, the market resolves to **"No"** if either Russia or Ukraine:
