South Carolina Republican Senate special primary runoff margin of victory?
31.0 pts (24h)PoliticsOne-OffUS PoliticsElection1y
KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probability
Ralph Norman, 0-3% 17%-28.0ptLeader of 18 outcomes
Market quality
60 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$203.4K
Liquidity
$534.2K
High liquidityBid / Ask
- / 1.0%
Market data
Updated 10 minutes ago
Aug 12, 26, 4:47 PMAug 25, 27, 2:00 PM
Trends
Rules
If the margin of victory for Darline Graham in the 2026 South Carolina Republican Senate special primary runoff falls within 0% to 3%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:South Carolina Secretary of State
- The margin of victory is the vote share received by Darline Graham minus the vote share received by the candidate that finishes immediately behind Darline Graham if Darline Graham wins, or the candidate that finishes first if Darline Graham loses.
- If Darline Graham wins, the margin will be positive; if Darline Graham loses, the margin will be negative; if Darline Graham ties for first place, the margin shall be 0.
- Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, and no rounding shall be applied.
- For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range.
- If Darline Graham runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying candidate will be summed.
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for South Carolina Republican Senate special primary runoff margin of victory??
- Kalshi prices Ralph Norman, 0-3% at 17% as of August 20, 2026.
- When does South Carolina Republican Senate special primary runoff margin of victory? resolve?
- South Carolina Republican Senate special primary runoff margin of victory? is scheduled to resolve on August 25, 2027.
- How is South Carolina Republican Senate special primary runoff margin of victory? settled?
- Kalshi settles this market as follows: If the margin of victory for Darline Graham in the 2026 South Carolina Republican Senate special primary runoff falls within 0% to 3%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.