Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 56.3%
Forecasters
12
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 14 hours ago
StaleJun 7, 25, 10:42 PM UTCDec 31, 30, 11:59 PM UTC
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PolymarketRules
William Baude is a legal scholar, podcaster at Divided Argument, and Manifold user.
- On the podcast, it is often brought up that he is not a member of the Supreme Court Bar.
- Will he be admitted to the Supreme Court Bar before the end of 2030? Resolves according to my best judgement.