Will Vladimir Putin stop being president of Russia before Volodymyr Zelensky stops being president of Ukraine?
PoliticsOne-OffElectionGeopoliticsRussia / UkraineManifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 81.6%
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148
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binary
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Updated 5 hours ago
StaleAug 29, 23, 8:41 PM UTCOct 7, 02, 8:59 PM UTC
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Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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PolymarketRules
This question resolves to yes if Putin is no longer president of Russia while Zelensky is still president of Ukraine.
- For the purposes of this question, the reason for either president to no longer be president is irrelevant: lost election, death, destitution, coup d'état, anything counts.
- If Putin becomes prime minister while someone else assumes the presidency, Putin will no longer be considered president, even if there is broad agreement that the official president is no more than a figurehead.
- Ditto for Zelensky.
- For the purposes of this question, in the event that either president would lose de facto control over the capital of his country, he would no longer be considered president, regardless of the de jure situation, even if he retreats to some other place and maintains a government in exile of any sort.
- It's a bit arbitrary, but I think it makes things easier to resolve, as consitutional issues of this type can become very tricky to resolve objectively.
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will Vladimir Putin stop being president of Russia before Volodymyr Zelensky stops being president of Ukraine??
- Manifold Markets prices No at 82% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does Will Vladimir Putin stop being president of Russia before Volodymyr Zelensky stops being president of Ukraine? resolve?
- Will Vladimir Putin stop being president of Russia before Volodymyr Zelensky stops being president of Ukraine? is scheduled to resolve on October 7, 2102.
- How is Will Vladimir Putin stop being president of Russia before Volodymyr Zelensky stops being president of Ukraine? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: This question resolves to yes if Putin is no longer president of Russia while Zelensky is still president of Ukraine.