Will Vladimir Putin be in power at the conclusion of the Russia-Ukraine war?
GeopoliticsOne-OffRussia / Ukraine9mo
Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecast
Yes 79.4%
Forecasters
145
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 10 hours ago
StaleNov 11, 22, 3:08 PM UTCJun 23, 27, 12:59 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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PolymarketRules
Update 2025-28-01 (PST): - Conclusion includes agreements similar to Minsk II that signify the end of active conflict, even if minor violations or low-level conflict continue afterward.
- (AI summary of creator comment)
Open markets
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- September 25+3.0pt88%
- September 30+1.5pt77%
+3 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $1.5M
- 24h Vol
- $876.7K
POLYMARKETWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
- No-1.0pt83.2%
- Yes+1.0pt16.8%
- Total Vol
- $67.4M
- 24h Vol
- $376.1K
POLYMARKETIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- July 18+0.3pt100%
- July 20+0.1pt100%
- July 22+0.5pt100%
+21 more outcomes
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+17 more outcomes
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- October 31+2.5pt12%
- September 30+1.1pt4%
+9 more outcomes
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- Before Mar 1, 2027+2.0pt12%
+7 more outcomes
- Total Vol
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will Vladimir Putin be in power at the conclusion of the Russia-Ukraine war??
- Manifold Markets prices Yes at 79% as of September 20, 2026.
- When does Will Vladimir Putin be in power at the conclusion of the Russia-Ukraine war? resolve?
- Will Vladimir Putin be in power at the conclusion of the Russia-Ukraine war? is scheduled to resolve on June 23, 2027.
- How is Will Vladimir Putin be in power at the conclusion of the Russia-Ukraine war? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: Update 2025-28-01 (PST): - Conclusion includes agreements similar to Minsk II that signify the end of active conflict, even if minor violations or low-level conflict continue afterward.