Current community forecast
No 63%
Forecasters
15
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 16 hours ago
StaleSep 23, 25, 3:30 PM UTCDec 31, 44, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
By 2100, will there be scientific consensus supporting the existence of past or present life on Mars?
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PolymarketRules
Resolves yes if it is generally considered true in the scientific community that life existed on mars at some point in the past by Jan 1, 2045.
- This is somewhat subjective, but any credible counterargument to life's existence or alternate explanation of phenomena that might indicate life will cause me to resolve this question No. If there is a positive consensus before 2045, I will resolve this Yes early.