Will there be a signifikant growth of greenlands population after Trump offers money to each inhabitant?
One-OffUS PoliticsWeatherSociety & Culture1yManifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 76.7%
Forecasters
7
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 12 hours ago
StaleJan 9, 26, 11:19 AM UTCDec 31, 27, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
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Resolution criteria
- This market resolves YES if Greenland's population increases by at least 10% from its current level (approximately 56,000) within 1 year of Trump mentioning to offer direct monetary payments to inhabitants.
- Resolution will be determined by official population statistics from Statistics Greenland or the World Bank.
- If no formal offer of per-capita payments is made, the market resolves N/A. The Trump administration is considering paying each Greenland resident thousands of dollars as part of a bid to encourage the territory to secede from Denmark and join the United States, with U.S. officials discussing payment figures ranging from $10,000 to $100,000.
- Greenland's current population is approximately 56,000, and the country reached its peak population of 56,935 in 2005, after which population levels began to decline.
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will there be a signifikant growth of greenlands population after Trump offers money to each inhabitant??
- Manifold Markets prices No at 77% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does Will there be a signifikant growth of greenlands population after Trump offers money to each inhabitant? resolve?
- Will there be a signifikant growth of greenlands population after Trump offers money to each inhabitant? is scheduled to resolve on December 31, 2027.
- How is Will there be a signifikant growth of greenlands population after Trump offers money to each inhabitant? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: Resolution criteria