Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 61.4%
Forecasters
10
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 6 hours ago
StaleJul 13, 26, 8:24 AM UTCDec 31, 29, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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Manifold MarketsRules
The Texas Water Development Board projects that towns and cities could be on a path toward a severe shortage of water by 2030.
- This market resolves YES if Texas (or a major water authority) issues a formal drought/water emergency declaration that includes restrictions or major water provider(s) publicly announces inability to meet demand, rationing or interruptions for a period of at least 14 consecutive days.
Open markets
WeatherKALSHIHighest temperature in Los Angeles on Sep 23, 2026?
- 78° to 79°+28.0pt52.5%
- 80° to 81°39.4%
- 82° to 83°-21.0pt4%
+3 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $365.5K
- 24h Vol
- $346.7K
KALSHIWhere will it rain on Sep 23, 2026?
- Philadelphia+83.0pt99%
- Miami+11.0pt99%
- Washington DC+10.0pt99%
+25 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $347.9K
KALSHIHighest temperature in Miami on Sep 23, 2026?
- 82° to 83°+49.0pt52.4%
- 84° to 85°+21.0pt35.2%
- 86° to 87°-26.0pt9.5%
+3 more outcomes
- Total Vol
KALSHIHighest temperature in New York City on Sep 23, 2026?
- 67° to 68°+25.0pt76.2%
- 65° to 66°-8.0pt19.1%
- 69° to 70°-7.0pt1.9%
+3 more outcomes
- Total Vol
KALSHIHighest temperature in Atlanta on Sep 23, 2026?
- 80° to 81°+23.0pt56.7%
- 82° to 83°+29.0pt38.1%
- 84° to 85°-1.0pt2.1%
+3 more outcomes
- Total Vol
KALSHIHighest temperature in Chicago on Sep 23, 2026?
- 65° to 66°+27.0pt62.9%
- 67° to 68°-11.0pt17.1%
- 63° to 64°-1.0pt16.2%
+3 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- Highest temperature in Beijing on September 24?
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- Highest temperature in Dallas on September 24?
- Highest temperature in Los Angeles on September 24?
- Highest temperature in Seattle on Sep 24, 2026?
- Highest temperature in Austin on Sep 23, 2026?
- Highest temperature in Madrid on September 24?
- Highest temperature in Wellington on September 24?
- Highest temperature in Phoenix on Sep 23, 2026?
- Will a hurricane make landfall in Hawaii in 2026?
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will Texas run out of water before 2030??
- Manifold Markets prices No at 61.4% as of September 23, 2026.
- When does Will Texas run out of water before 2030? resolve?
- Will Texas run out of water before 2030? is scheduled to resolve on December 31, 2029.
- How is Will Texas run out of water before 2030? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: The Texas Water Development Board projects that towns and cities could be on a path toward a severe shortage of water by 2030.