Data quality warningSource data degraded
Data as of Oct 25, 2026, 11:51 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Current community forecast
No 93.9%
Forecasters
8
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 57 minutes ago
LaggingSep 10, 25, 6:57 AM UTCOct 26, 26, 6:57 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Who Will be Deputy Prime Minister after the 2026 NZ election?
Manifold MarketsIf this person is elected Deputy Leader of Labour in 2025, will the Prime Minister on January 1st 2030 be Labour?
Manifold MarketsPrime Minister of Israel after the next election?
PolymarketNext Prime Minister of Serbia?
PolymarketNext Prime Minister of Spain?
PolymarketMeloni out as Prime Minister of Italy by which date?
PolymarketRules
Resolution criteria are not yet available for this market. Refresh cycles will populate this section when source rules are stored.
