Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent community forecastYes 91.6%
Forecasters
19
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 15 hours ago
StaleJul 2, 23, 3:07 PM UTCFeb 1, 28, 7:59 AM UTC
Trends
Rules
This market resolves YES if the US State Department or White House calls an event a genocide in an official, public communication before 2029.
- This market resolves NO if that does not happen.
- Recognition by congresspeople or judges do not qualify.
- The genocide does not need to be a new genocide, only newly recognized.
