Will the UK enter a technical recession in 2026?

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Frequently asked questions

What are the current odds for Will the UK enter a technical recession in 2026??

Manifold Markets prices No at 87.6% as of October 24, 2026.

When does Will the UK enter a technical recession in 2026? resolve?

Will the UK enter a technical recession in 2026? is scheduled to resolve on December 31, 2026.

How is Will the UK enter a technical recession in 2026? settled?

Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: Resolves YES if the UK is confirmed to experience two consecutive quarters of GDP contraction, with the first of those quarters starting in 2026.

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KALSHI

Mexico unemployment rate in October

• Above 2.6%41%
• Above 2.7%32%
• Above 2.8%25.5%

+6 more outcomes

Total Vol

$21.7K

24h Vol

$15.1K

KALSHI

CPI in October

• Above 0.0%98.5%
• Above -0.1%98.5%
• Above 0.1%89.5%

POLYMARKET

US economic state at the end of 2026?

• Overheating+11.0pt88.2%
• Soft Landing-8.0pt9.8%
• Slack-0.1pt1%

+1 more outcomes

KALSHI

US real GDP growth in Q3 2026?

• Above 0.0%99.5%
• Above 0.5%99.5%
• Above 1.0%+2.0pt98.5%

KALSHI

CPI YoY in December

• Above 3.0%96.5%
• Above 3.1%96%
• Above 3.3%94.5%

KALSHI

Core CPI in October

• Above 0.0%94.5%
• Above 0.1%75.5%
• Above 0.2%-3.0pt41%

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