Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecast
No 94.7%
Forecasters
21
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 10 hours ago
StaleFeb 4, 25, 8:45 AM UTCJan 2, 27, 7:59 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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PolymarketRules
Some people on the right have made noise about restricting the NWS from providing weather forecasts in the past, and with Trump back in office, they may try to do so again.
- Resolution Criteria This market will resolve YES if the National Weather Service stops providing weather forecasts to the U.S. public before January 1, 2027.
- Specifically, this will resolve YES if the NWS does not provide forecasts, or provides forecasts limited to the following 72 hours or less, to areas of the U.S. representing a majority of Americans, for a period of at least one week.
- This includes both their website (weather.gov) and official forecast products.
- The market will resolve NO if NOAA continues to provide weather forecasts through 2026.
- Temporary interruptions in service due to technical issues or government shutdowns will not count as stopping forecasts.
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will the NWS stop providing weather forecasts before 2027??
- Manifold Markets prices No at 95% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does Will the NWS stop providing weather forecasts before 2027? resolve?
- Will the NWS stop providing weather forecasts before 2027? is scheduled to resolve on January 2, 2027.
- How is Will the NWS stop providing weather forecasts before 2027? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: Some people on the right have made noise about restricting the NWS from providing weather forecasts in the past, and with Trump back in office, they may try to do so again.