When will 14-day weather forecasts reach 60% accuracy?

Frequently asked questions

What are the current odds for When will 14-day weather forecasts reach 60% accuracy??

Manifold Markets prices Before 2040 at 36.9% as of October 26, 2026.

When does When will 14-day weather forecasts reach 60% accuracy? resolve?

When will 14-day weather forecasts reach 60% accuracy? is scheduled to resolve on January 1, 2100.

How is When will 14-day weather forecasts reach 60% accuracy? settled?

Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: This market asks when 14-day weather forecasts will reach at least 60% accuracy as determined by official statements from major meteorological organizations (NOAA, Met Office, ECMWF, etc.).

Use this market in code or an AI agent

Free JSON for this market, no API key needed:

AI agents: call pm_data_event on the CoinRithm MCP server:

KALSHI

Where will it rain on Oct 25, 2026?

• Albuquerque+35.0pt99.5%
• Minneapolis+28.0pt99.5%
• Seattle+4.0pt99.5%

+32 more outcomes

Total Vol

$653K

24h Vol

$586.5K

KALSHI

Highest temperature in Los Angeles on Oct 25, 2026?

• 78° to 79°+41.0pt99.5%
• 80° to 81°-9.0pt0.5%
• 76° to 77°-31.0pt

KALSHI

Where will it rain this weekend (Oct 24 - Oct 25)?

• Minneapolis+6.0pt99.5%
• Seattle+4.0pt99.5%
• Albuquerque99.5%

KALSHI

Where will it rain on Oct 26, 2026?

• Miami99.5%
• West Palm Beach99.5%
• Minneapolis98.5%

POLYMARKET

Highest temperature in Tokyo on October 26?

• 21°C+67.2pt100%
• 16°C or below-0.7pt0%
• 17°C-0.8pt0%

+8 more outcomes

KALSHI

Highest temperature in San Francisco on Oct 25, 2026?

• 73° to 74°+89.0pt99.5%
• 71° to 72°-39.0pt0.5%
• 75° or above

• Highest temperature in Chengdu on October 26?
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