Will the No FAKES Act be passed and signed into law during second Trump administration?
PoliticsOne-OffUS PoliticsElection2y
Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 85.1%
Forecasters
6
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 11 hours ago
StaleOct 12, 26, 6:11 AM UTCJan 20, 29, 11:00 AM UTC
Trends
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PolymarketRules
Resolution criteria
- This market resolves to YES if federal legislation officially titled the "NO FAKES Act" (or a substantially equivalent bill establishing a federal intellectual property right in an individual's voice and visual likeness against unauthorized AI digital replicas) is enacted into law—meaning passed by both houses of the U.S. Congress and signed by the President (or enacted over a presidential veto / without signature)—during the second Trump presidential term (January 20, 2025 through January 20, 2029 at 12:00 PM EST).
- This market resolves to NO if no such legislation is enacted into federal law by the end of the second Trump administration.
- Enactment status will be verified using official congressional data from Congress.gov or official published presidential record databases.
- The Nurture Originals, Foster Art, and Keep Entertainment Safe (NO FAKES) Act is bipartisan federal legislation aimed at establishing a licensable federal property right protecting individuals' voices and visual likenesses from unauthorized AI-generated digital replicas ("deepfakes").
- Originally introduced in draft form in 2023, revised versions of the bill have gained bipartisan momentum in Congress.
