Will the next U.S. President (elected in Nov. 2024 & inaugurated in Jan. 2025) serve their full 4-year term?

Frequently asked questions

What are the current odds for Will the next U.S. President (elected in Nov. 2024 & inaugurated in Jan. 2025) serve their full 4-year term??

Manifold Markets prices Yes at 79.1% as of October 27, 2026.

When does Will the next U.S. President (elected in Nov. 2024 & inaugurated in Jan. 2025) serve their full 4-year term? resolve?

Will the next U.S. President (elected in Nov. 2024 & inaugurated in Jan. 2025) serve their full 4-year term? is scheduled to resolve on January 21, 2029.

How is Will the next U.S. President (elected in Nov. 2024 & inaugurated in Jan. 2025) serve their full 4-year term? settled?

Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: Resolves to "Yes" if the person elected in Nov. 2024 is serving as U.S. President on the day of the next inauguration (20 Jan. 2029).

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POLYMARKET

Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?

• Gadi Eizenkot-3.4pt51%
• Benjamin Netanyahu+8.0pt38.8%
• Naftali Bennett-3.0pt8.2%

+16 more outcomes

Total Vol

$68.5M

24h Vol

$11.6M

POLYMARKET

Israeli Legislative Election Winner

• Likud+54.0pt86%
• Yashar-55.0pt14%
• Otzma Yehudit0%

+3 more outcomes

KALSHI

Prime Minister of Israel after the 2026 election?

• No one44.5%
• Gadi Eizenkot-23.0pt29.5%
• Benjamin Netanyahu-1.0pt

KALSHI

2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?

• Democrats sweep63.5%
• D-House, R-Senate28.5%
• Republicans sweep-0.4pt8.9%

KALSHI

Which party will win the U.S. House?

• Democratic Party+0.6pt90.8%
• Republican Party-0.3pt9.3%

Total Vol

$74.6M

24h Vol

$1.9M

POLYMARKET

Israel Election: Likud # of seats?

• 25-29+37.0pt58.8%
• 20-24-13.0pt29.4%
• 30-34+2.9pt10.8%

+2 more outcomes

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