Current community forecast
No 87.8%
Forecasters
12
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 2 hours ago
StaleJun 15, 25, 12:14 PM UTCDec 31, 26, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
Rules
After party secretary Santos Cerdán was involved in a corruption scandal, Sánchez dismissed him and apologized, but ruled out resigning or calling for a snap election.
- More specifically, Sánchez said 'there will be no election until 2027', but this political crisis might make his coalition partners of the leftist Sumar withdraw their support.
- This market resolves YES if a new general election is held in Spain before 2027.
Open markets
Politics
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- JD Vance-0.1pt25%
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+49 more outcomes
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+16 more outcomes
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- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.1pt20%
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+39 more outcomes
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KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff17%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez16%
- Gavin Newsom14%
+45 more outcomes
- Total Vol
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- 24h Vol
- $547.7K
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- Marine Le Pen+0.3pt36.4%
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- Jean-Luc Mélenchon-1.0pt12.1%
+38 more outcomes
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will the next Spanish general election be held before 2027??
- Manifold Markets prices No at 88% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does Will the next Spanish general election be held before 2027? resolve?
- Will the next Spanish general election be held before 2027? is scheduled to resolve on December 31, 2026.
- How is Will the next Spanish general election be held before 2027? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: After party secretary Santos Cerdán was involved in a corruption scandal, Sánchez dismissed him and apologized, but ruled out resigning or calling for a snap election.