Data quality warningSource data degraded
Data as of Oct 26, 2026, 2:41 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Current community forecast
Yes 99%
Forecasters
16
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 12 hours ago
StaleJun 15, 25, 12:14 PM UTCDec 31, 26, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
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Manifold MarketsRules
After party secretary Santos Cerdán was involved in a corruption scandal, Sánchez dismissed him and apologized, but ruled out resigning or calling for a snap election.
- More specifically, Sánchez said 'there will be no election until 2027', but this political crisis might make his coalition partners of the leftist Sumar withdraw their support.
- This market resolves YES if a new general election is held in Spain before 2027.