Current community forecast
No 84.2%
Forecasters
7
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 7 hours ago
StaleSep 10, 26, 12:39 PM UTCDec 31, 30, 10:40 AM UTC
Trends
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Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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PolymarketRules
Resolution criteria
- This market resolves to YES if, at any point prior to January 1, 2031, an active member of the Alternative for Germany (AfD) party is officially appointed as the Federal Chancellor of Germany (Bundeskanzler/in) under the German Basic Law (Grundgesetz).
- Otherwise, this market resolves to NO.
- Key Details & Edge Cases:
- The chancellor must be a registered member of the AfD at the time of taking office.
- An independent or member of another party supported by an AfD coalition does not satisfy this condition.
