Will Texas elect a Democratic Senator in 2026, and will they elect at least 14 Democratic Representatives?
Politics4dManifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent community forecastDem Senator, >= 14 Dem Reps 43.3%Leader of 4 outcomes
Forecasters
17
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
+11.2 pts
Market data
Updated 5 hours ago
StaleFeb 1, 26, 2:51 AM UTCNov 3, 26, 11:59 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will Ohio elect a Democratic Senator in 2026, and will they elect at least 4 Democratic Representatives?
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Manifold MarketsWill Texas elect a Democrat to the U.S. Senate in any election through 2026?
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KalshiRules
Resolves based on these underlying markets:
- Will the Democrats win the 2026 Texas Senate Election?
- How many Republican Representatives will Texas elect in 2026?
- Threshold conversion: Texas has 38 House seats. "At least 14 Democratic Representatives" is equivalent to "at most 24 Republican Representatives" in the underlying market.
- Outcome Senate market Reps market (R version) the named outcome YES 0-8 through 24 the named outcome YES 25 through 34-38 the named outcome NO 0-8 through 24 the named outcome NO 25 through 34-38
