Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent community forecast26 26.8%Leader of 14 outcomes
Forecasters
11
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
+6.8 pts
Market data
Updated 11 hours ago
StaleJul 25, 25, 2:50 PM UTCNov 5, 26, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will Texas elect a Democratic Senator in 2026, and will they elect at least 14 Democratic Representatives?
Manifold MarketsWill Texas elect a Democrat to the U.S. Senate in any election through 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Texas elect a Senator and Governor from different parties?
PredictItWill Texas elect a Democrat to the U.S. Senate in any election through 2032?
Manifold MarketsWill Texas elect a Democrat to the U.S. Senate in any election through 2030?
Manifold MarketsWhich party will win the House in 2026?
PolymarketRules
In both 2022 and 2024, Texas elected 25 Republicans and 13 Democrats to the US House of Representatives.
- How many Republicans will they elect in 2026?
- Counting independents that intend to caucus with the Republicans.
- Based on a consensus of credible reporting if available, or certified election results if we have to wait for them.
