Will Sonia Sotomayor still be on the Supreme Court at the end of 2026?

Frequently asked questions

What are the current odds for Will Sonia Sotomayor still be on the Supreme Court at the end of 2026??

Manifold Markets prices Yes at 96.7% as of October 31, 2026.

When does Will Sonia Sotomayor still be on the Supreme Court at the end of 2026? resolve?

Will Sonia Sotomayor still be on the Supreme Court at the end of 2026? is scheduled to resolve on January 1, 2027.

How is Will Sonia Sotomayor still be on the Supreme Court at the end of 2026? settled?

Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: See: https://www.natesilver.net/p/sonia-sotomayors-retirement-is-a

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POLYMARKET

Which Senate Swing States will Republicans win?

• None-2.0pt23%
• IA, KS+6.0pt14%
• IA+2.5pt11%

+125 more outcomes

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24h Vol

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KALSHI

2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?

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• D-House, R-Senate26.5%
• Republicans sweep-1.5pt

KALSHI

Texas Senate winner?

• James Talarico+1.0pt70.5%
• Ken Paxton+2.0pt30.5%

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$59.4M

24h Vol

$5.7M

KALSHI

Who will control the House?

• Democratic Party+1.4pt93.8%
• Republican Party-1.0pt6.5%

Total Vol

$87.2M

24h Vol

$3.8M

POLYMARKET

Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms

• Democrats Sweep-1.0pt69.6%
• R Senate, D+1.0pt23.5%
• Republicans Sweep5.9%

+2 more outcomes

POLYMARKET

Which party will win the House in 2026?

• Democratic Party+1.0pt94.1%
• Republican Party-1.0pt5.9%

Total Vol

$33.6M

24h Vol

$2.3M

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