Will Robot workers be a major topic during the 2028 presidential debates in the United States?
PoliticsOne-OffAIUS PoliticsTechElection2yManifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 71.9%
Forecasters
16
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binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 4 hours ago
StaleNov 10, 23, 12:14 AM UTCNov 6, 28, 7:59 AM UTC
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Rules
This question resolves to YES if during at least one of the main (non-VP) 2028 general presidential election debates in the United States, the moderator asks at least two separate questions directly related to robot workers, such as the potential for job losses due to them.
- This question also resolves to YES if Robot are otherwise brought up by a candidate in the context of a question unrelated to them and ALL candidates talk about ribots at least once during the same debate, with at least one of the candidates saying "robotics", ""robots" or a close synonym at least three separate times, at least five seconds apart, during the same debate.
- Otherwise, this question resolves to NO.
- Asking "at least two separate questions" means that the moderator must pose two semantically distinct and individual queries, each intended to elicit a unique response, specifically about robots.
- In other words, simply repeating the same question doesn't count as two separate questions, even if the question is asked twice, first to one candidate, and then a second time to the other candidate.
- Moreover, asking two distinct questions without waiting for the answer to the first one counts as two separate questions for the purpose of this question.
