Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 65.6%
Forecasters
8
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 16 hours ago
StaleFeb 8, 23, 8:18 PM UTCDec 31, 49, 10:59 PM UTC
Trends
Rules
It's hard to defined "normalize" precisely, but would involve peace between the two countries, a lack of territorial claims against each other (or commitments to settle such claims peacefully and amicably), diplomatic and trade relations, and at least a neutral attitude of the populations towards each other.
- For reference, I consider relations between Georgia and Russia not to have been normal since 2008.
- Relations between France and Germany after WWII normalized around the mid-1950ies.
