Will New Mexico Amendment 2 (combining school and partisan elections) be approved in the November 3, 2026 election?
PoliticsOne-OffElectionLatin America9d
Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastYes 70.5%
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1
Question type
binary
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Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 16 hours ago
StaleOct 6, 26, 6:49 AM UTCNov 4, 26, 12:00 PM UTC
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Rules
This market resolves YES if New Mexico Amendment 2 (Proposing to amend Article 7, Section 1 of the Constitution of New Mexico to remove the requirement that school elections be separate from partisan elections.) is approved by voters at the November 3, 2026 general election under its official approval rule:
- Simple majority of votes cast on the question (N.M. Const. art.
- XIX §1); SOS guide: none of the 2026 amendments needs the three-fourths supermajority (despite amending art.
- VII §1, a section listed in art.
- XIX §1's 3/4 rule)
- Only the November 3, 2026 vote counts; earlier votes on similar proposals do not.
