Will Nectome perform 1,000+ brain preservations in a single calendar year before 2040?
One-OffScience13yManifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 75%
Forecasters
12
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 18 hours ago
StaleMar 18, 26, 11:01 PM UTCDec 31, 39, 11:59 PM UTC
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PolymarketRules
Human brain preservation company Nectome is looking to start accepting patients soon.
- Its founder, Aurelia Song claimed: "I think we will be getting to thousands of preservations per year in a few years"
- (https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/E9xfgJHvs6M55kABD/less-dead?commentId=HqWWna92bECLJDiCQ)
- "I think Nectome's business case is very strong and that preservation is going to become a new global tradition soon. ... [Within the next decade] I think 0.1% - 1% of people will seriously consider preservation, and Nectome will be very successful."
- (https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/E9xfgJHvs6M55kABD/less-dead?commentId=qKDXYFwovwmxdr4Kk)
- This market resolves YES iff Nectome preserves over a thousand patients in a single calendar year.
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will Nectome perform 1,000+ brain preservations in a single calendar year before 2040??
- Manifold Markets prices No at 75% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does Will Nectome perform 1,000+ brain preservations in a single calendar year before 2040? resolve?
- Will Nectome perform 1,000+ brain preservations in a single calendar year before 2040? is scheduled to resolve on December 31, 2039.
- How is Will Nectome perform 1,000+ brain preservations in a single calendar year before 2040? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: Human brain preservation company Nectome is looking to start accepting patients soon.