Will Nectome perform 1,000+ brain preservations in a single calendar year before 2030?
One-OffHealth & MedicineScienceTech3yManifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 94.8%
Forecasters
7
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 56 minutes ago
LaggingApr 2, 26, 3:28 PM UTCDec 31, 29, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
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Manifold MarketsRules
This market resolves YES iff Nectome preserves over a thousand patients in a single calendar year.
- I will be lenient about what counts as a preservation, and resolve based on any credible claim by the company.
- See also: https://manifold.markets/MaxHarms/will-nectome-perform-1000-brain-pre
- Update 2026-04-03 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Only human brain preservations count toward resolution.
- Animal (e.g. pet) preservations do not count.
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will Nectome perform 1,000+ brain preservations in a single calendar year before 2030??
- Manifold Markets prices No at 95% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does Will Nectome perform 1,000+ brain preservations in a single calendar year before 2030? resolve?
- Will Nectome perform 1,000+ brain preservations in a single calendar year before 2030? is scheduled to resolve on December 31, 2029.
- How is Will Nectome perform 1,000+ brain preservations in a single calendar year before 2030? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: This market resolves YES iff Nectome preserves over a thousand patients in a single calendar year.