Will Mike Johnson be Speaker of the House following the Midterms?

Frequently asked questions

What are the current odds for Will Mike Johnson be Speaker of the House following the Midterms??

Manifold Markets prices No at 95% as of October 30, 2026.

When does Will Mike Johnson be Speaker of the House following the Midterms? resolve?

Will Mike Johnson be Speaker of the House following the Midterms? is scheduled to resolve on November 3, 2026.

How is Will Mike Johnson be Speaker of the House following the Midterms? settled?

Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: Resolves Yes if Mike Johnson Reelected speaker when the new congress is seated in January.

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KALSHI

2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?

• Democrats sweep+2.0pt67.5%
• D-House, R-Senate-2.0pt26.5%
• Republicans sweep-2.4pt6%

+1 more outcomes

Total Vol

$73.4M

24h Vol

$8.3M

KALSHI

Texas Senate winner?

• James Talarico+3.0pt71.5%
• Ken Paxton-3.0pt28.5%

Total Vol

$55.1M

24h Vol

$4.7M

POLYMARKET

Which party will win the House in 2026?

• Democratic Party+1.0pt93.1%
• Republican Party-1.0pt6.9%

Total Vol

$31.5M

24h Vol

$3.7M

KALSHI

Who will control the House?

• Democratic Party+1.0pt92.5%
• Republican Party-1.4pt7.5%

Total Vol

$83.7M

24h Vol

$3.5M

POLYMARKET

Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms

• Democrats Sweep+5.0pt70.6%
• R Senate, D-4.0pt22.6%
• Republicans Sweep-1.0pt5.9%

+2 more outcomes

POLYMARKET

Which party will win the Senate in 2026?

• Democratic Party+5.0pt72.3%
• Republican Party-4.0pt27.7%

Total Vol

$12.7M

24h Vol

$1.9M

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