Manifold MarketsClosedNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedThis market resolved: No (99%)
Resolved: Oct 7, 2026, 7:44 PM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Data quality warningStale data
Data as of Oct 8, 2026, 9:36 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Probability Timeline
Yes1%
No99%
Won
Lost
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will Matt gaetz win the Republican nomination for president in 2028?
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Manifold MarketsDemocratic Presidential Nominee 2028
PolymarketRules
[tweet]Republican House member Matt Gaetz has strongly hinted at a potential campaign for the 2026 Florida governorship.
- Will he be successful? If so, market will resolve as YES.
