Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 93%
Forecasters
9
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 10 hours ago
StaleAug 23, 26, 10:51 PM UTCDec 31, 29, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Indiana Attorney General winner? (2028)
KalshiMissouri Attorney General winner? (2028)
KalshiMontana Attorney General winner? (2028)
KalshiNorth Carolina Attorney General winner? (2028)
KalshiWill "What OpenAI Told California's Attorney General" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?
Manifold MarketsWho will win the 2026 Ohio Attorney General election?
Manifold MarketsRules
Resolution criteria
- This market resolves to YES if Devin James Stone (popularly known as "LegalEagle") is officially sworn in or appointed as the Attorney General of the United States on or before December 31, 2029, at 11:59 PM UTC.
- Otherwise, this market resolves to NO.
- Serving as "Acting" Attorney General does not suffice for a YES resolution; he must be officially confirmed by the United States Senate or appointed through a formal recess appointment as the permanent Attorney General.
- The official registry of U.S. Attorneys General on the U.S. Department of Justice website or announcements on the Federal Register will serve as the primary source of truth.
- Devin James Stone is an American trial lawyer, founder of Stone Law DC, and creator of the popular YouTube channel LegalEagle, which offers legal education, commentary, and analysis of current events.
