Will Larry Johnson's claim that Trump requested access to nuclear codes in a recent meeting about Iran be corroborated?
US PoliticsGeopoliticsOne-OffMiddle East3moManifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 73%
Forecasters
6
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 18 hours ago
StaleApr 21, 26, 5:04 PM UTCDec 31, 26, 6:02 PM UTC
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Corroboration can come from any of the following sources: NYTimes, WSJ, CNN, Fox News, Washington Post, NBC News, MSNBC, BBC, Al Jazeera.
- Corroboration must involve more than a simple recitation of the claims made by Larry Johnson.
- Market starts at 15% because I find the source especially non-credible.
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will Larry Johnson's claim that Trump requested access to nuclear codes in a recent meeting about Iran be corroborated??
- Manifold Markets prices No at 73% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does Will Larry Johnson's claim that Trump requested access to nuclear codes in a recent meeting about Iran be corroborated? resolve?
- Will Larry Johnson's claim that Trump requested access to nuclear codes in a recent meeting about Iran be corroborated? is scheduled to resolve on December 31, 2026.
- How is Will Larry Johnson's claim that Trump requested access to nuclear codes in a recent meeting about Iran be corroborated? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: Corroboration can come from any of the following sources: NYTimes, WSJ, CNN, Fox News, Washington Post, NBC News, MSNBC, BBC, Al Jazeera.