Current community forecast
Yes 71.2%
Forecasters
31
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 17 minutes ago
Jan 6, 25, 4:29 PM UTCJan 1, 30, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Who will become the next permanent leader of the UK Conservative Party after Kemi Badenoch?
Manifold MarketsWill Kemi Badenoch become Prime Minister of the UK?
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Manifold MarketsHow many seats will the UK Conservative Party win at the next general election?
Manifold MarketsPierre Poilievre out as Conservative Party leader?
KalshiWho will be the next leader of the Conservative Party of British Columbia?
KalshiRules
Resolves YES if Wikipedia and/or the Conservative's official website list Kemi Badenoch as party leader on polling day of the next UK general election after July 2024.
