Current community forecast
>=50 82.2%Leader of 7 outcomes
Forecasters
25
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
0.0 pts
Market data
Updated 17 hours ago
StaleJul 14, 24, 7:21 PM UTCJan 1, 30, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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SmarketsRules
The Conservatives won 121 seats in the 2024 general election.
- How many will they win in the next one?
- If the Conservative party splits into multiple parties, or some MPs defect to other parties, the party that is considered the "real" Conservative Party will be the one who the largest number of the 121 MPs elected in July 2024 are members of.
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for How many seats will the UK Conservative Party win at the next general election??
- Manifold Markets prices >=50 at 82% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does How many seats will the UK Conservative Party win at the next general election? resolve?
- How many seats will the UK Conservative Party win at the next general election? is scheduled to resolve on January 1, 2030.
- How is How many seats will the UK Conservative Party win at the next general election? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: The Conservatives won 121 seats in the 2024 general election.