Current community forecast
>=50 82.2%Leader of 7 outcomes
>=50 82.2%Forecasters
25
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
0.0 pts
Market data
Updated 16 hours ago
StaleJul 14, 24, 7:21 PM UTCJan 1, 30, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
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KalshiRules
The Conservatives won 121 seats in the 2024 general election.
- How many will they win in the next one?
- If the Conservative party splits into multiple parties, or some MPs defect to other parties, the party that is considered the "real" Conservative Party will be the one who the largest number of the 121 MPs elected in July 2024 are members of.