Will Jeffries become House Speaker & Schumer Senate Majority Leader in 2027?
9.3 pts (24h)One-OffUS PoliticsPolitics1mo
Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent community forecastBoth Jeffries and Schumer 80.1%+9.3ptLeader of 4 outcomes
Forecasters
21
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
+55.1 pts
Market data
Updated 13 minutes ago
Nov 4, 26, 10:41 PM UTCJan 7, 27, 4:59 AM UTC
Trends
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KalshiRules
Will both take office?
- Or only one? Or neither?
- This market resolves based on who actually assumes office as the initial leadership of the 120th U.S. Congress, beginning January 2027.
- Jeffries qualifies if Hakeem Jeffries is the first person formally elected, sworn in, and seated as Speaker of the House in the 120th Congress.
- Schumer qualifies if Chuck Schumer is the first person to officially assume and serve as Senate Majority Leader in the 120th Congress.
- Only one answer will resolve YES.
