KalshiCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedSelected book midpoint
No · —
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Stored price
No 62%
No 62%Market quality
33 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$8.2
Open interest
$420
Low open interestBid / Ask
— / —
NoSpread
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Market data
Updated 35 minutes ago
Nov 8, 26, 3:00 PM UTCJan 3, 27, 3:00 PM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
Venue terms
Source: Kalshi
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Early close:
- Yes
- Settlement timer:
- 30m (informational)
Market depth · No
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Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will Chuck Schumer stop being Senate Democratic Leader before the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Scott Colom win the Mississippi general election for US Senate in 2026?
ForecastExWill Jeffries become House Speaker & Schumer Senate Majority Leader in 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill Chuck Schumer be the senate majority leader after the 2026 midterms?
Manifold Markets120th Congress: Who will run for Senate Democratic leader?
KalshiWill Chuck Schumer remain the Democratic Leader through the 119th Congress?
PredictItRules
This outcome's exact rule is not available.
- To back Chuck Schumer for Senate Democratic leader, Scott Colom must make an "endorsement", which requires: A clear, affirmative statement of support for Chuck Schumer's election as Senate Democratic leader, or that Scott Colom will vote for Chuck Schumer for that post The statement must be public (not private communications) The statement must specifically reference the Senate Democratic leadership election for the 120th Congress or be clearly in context of it The statement must come directly from Scott Colom or through official channels The following scenarios would resolve to YES: Scott Colom states "I endorse Chuck Schumer for Senate Democratic leader" Scott Colom states "I support Chuck Schumer" with clear reference to the Senate Democratic leadership election Scott Colom states "I'm voting for Chuck Schumer" publicly Scott Colom states "Chuck Schumer has my full support" for Senate Democratic leader Scott Colom releases official endorsement through his office or campaign Statements of obvious sarcasm (or which are immediately followed by clarifications that Scott Colom is joking) are NOT encompassed by the Payout Criterion. The Contract shall resolve immediately upon confirmation of the first qualifying endorsement by Scott Colom in the specified race. A statement made after the Senate Democratic Caucus has elected its leader for the 120th Congress does not qualify. If no qualifying endorsement of Chuck Schumer occurs before that election or before Jan 3, 2027, whichever is first, this market resolves to No. If Chuck Schumer withdraws from or ceases to be a candidate in the specified race before a qualifying endorsement is confirmed, this market may resolve to No in the sole discretion of the Exchange. An endorsement conditioned only on Chuck Schumer declaring candidacy for, filing for, entering, or remaining in this race qualifies when the statement is confirmed. An endorsement subject to any other condition does not qualify. On social media, only verified accounts qualify; likes or retweets alone do not count. A quote tweet with added commentary must meet the endorsement requirements above.
Rules for each outcome
- No
- This outcome's exact rule is not available.
- Yes
- This outcome's exact rule is not available.
