Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 62.2%
Forecasters
56
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 2 hours ago
StaleJul 22, 24, 12:41 PM UTCJan 1, 35, 7:59 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will Trump endorse JD Vance for president before 2027?
PolymarketWill JD Vance be president for two weeks by mid 2027
Manifold MarketsWill JD Vance be president of the United States before the end of 2033?
Manifold MarketsWill JD Vance be President of the USA during the 2028 Olympics
Manifold MarketsWill the gop ticket in 2028 be Jd Vance for President, Marco Rubio for vice president?
Manifold MarketsNewsom flips Vance for 2028 president by March 31?
PolymarketRules
Resolves "no" if he dies, and "yes" if he is sworn in.
