Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecast
No 76.3%
Forecasters
17
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 15 hours ago
StaleNov 9, 24, 2:28 PM UTCJul 15, 28, 3:59 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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FutuurWill JD Vance win the Republican Nomination for US President in 2028?
ForecastExRules
Donald Trump would be 82 years old during the Los Angeles Olympic Games in 2028.
- Does he make it? He eats two Big Macs and almost a gallon of Diet Coke a day
Open markets
Politics
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- 24h Vol
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+16 more outcomes
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- Jon Ossoff17.2%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez-2.0pt15.2%
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+45 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $213.6M
- 24h Vol
- $689.2K
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- J.D. Vance50%
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- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 more outcomes
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- $701.2M
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- Marine Le Pen+0.9pt36.4%
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+38 more outcomes
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will JD Vance be President of the USA during the 2028 Olympics?
- Manifold Markets prices No at 76% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does Will JD Vance be President of the USA during the 2028 Olympics resolve?
- Will JD Vance be President of the USA during the 2028 Olympics is scheduled to resolve on July 15, 2028.
- How is Will JD Vance be President of the USA during the 2028 Olympics settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: Donald Trump would be 82 years old during the Los Angeles Olympic Games in 2028.