Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastYes 87%
Forecasters
11
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 52 minutes ago
LaggingDec 21, 24, 2:20 PM UTCJan 1, 60, 4:59 AM UTC
Trends
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KalshiRules
Israel has been a UN member state since 1949 and maintains a significant Jewish majority population.
- Current demographic projections indicate continued Jewish population growth through 2050.
- The country faces various geopolitical challenges but has shown remarkable resilience and stability since its establishment. 2060 will mark Israel's 112nd anniversary.
- Resolution Criteria
- Market resolves YES if ALL of the following conditions are met in 2050:
- Israel is listed as a UN member state and/or recognized by a majority of UN member states
