Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedData quality warningSource data degraded
Data as of Oct 26, 2026, 9:03 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Current community forecastYes 77.6%
Forecasters
14
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 6 hours ago
StaleNov 13, 23, 9:55 PM UTCJan 2, 30, 5:59 AM UTC
Trends
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PolymarketAnthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
PolymarketRules
Will Anthropic still exist as an independent company in 2030? This resolves as NO if Anthropic is acquired by another company or folds by 2030.
- It resolves YES if Anthropic has not been acquired and is still in existence by 2030 with a Board of Directors that is independent, or is Public without getting bought out.
