Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecast
No 95.3%
Forecasters
24
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 22 hours ago
StaleNov 9, 24, 3:09 PM UTCDec 31, 26, 10:59 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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KalshiRules
https://saytheprime.com/
- Update 2025-10-22 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The market will be extended until a new larger (Mersenne) prime is found, rather than closing on the original close date of 2025-12-31.
Open markets
ScienceKALSHIWhen will the next Millennium Prize be awarded?
- Before 2035+0.9pt86%
- Before 2030-3.0pt82%
- Before 2029-12.9pt48%
+2 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $268.6K
- 24h Vol
- $81.3K
KALSHIWill the U.S. confirm that aliens exist?
- Before Jan 20, 2029+1.0pt21%
- Before 2028-1.0pt12%
- Before 2027-0.3pt5%
+5 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $33.3M
POLYMARKETWill the US confirm that aliens exist by which date?
- December 314%
- September 30-0.1pt1%
- April 300%
+3 more outcomes
- Total Vol
KALSHIWhen will the Riemann hypothesis be solved?
- Before 2035+13.0pt58%
- Before 203248%
- Before 2030-19.0pt44%
+1 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $127.5K
KALSHIHow many major Atlantic hurricanes will there be in 2026?
- Above 0+4.0pt49%
- Above 1-2.0pt18%
- Above 2-6.0pt8%
+5 more outcomes
- Total Vol
KALSHIWill WHO declare Hantavirus a Public Health Emergency of International Concern this Year?
- No97%
- Yes-0.7pt3%
- Total Vol
- $1.9M
- 24h Vol
- $3.4K
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will humans say the largest prime number before we find the next one??
- Manifold Markets prices No at 95% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does Will humans say the largest prime number before we find the next one? resolve?
- Will humans say the largest prime number before we find the next one? is scheduled to resolve on December 31, 2026.
- How is Will humans say the largest prime number before we find the next one? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: https://saytheprime.com/